Market Flash
August 12, 2025
Daily commentary
August 14, 2025
Market Flash
August 12, 2025
Daily commentary
August 14, 2025

News

August 13, 2025

Daily Commentary of August 13, 2025.

Avsecurities

Advance in the treasury curve (-5bps), as the Trump administration increases pressure on Powell and the Fed to cut rates, leading futures to discount the 25bps cut in September, another 25bps in October and a 50% probability of one more in December. Equities had another positive close globally, led by Asian indices that gained more than 1%, and in the US the Dow (+1%) better than the Nasdaq (+0.12%). In commodities, crude oil fell for the 9th time in 10 sessions, with WTI falling to $62, its lowest level since June. The dollar depreciated 0.25% (DXY 97.86), erasing the last month of appreciation.

In Venezuela and PDVSA, there was an advance of 2pts in PDV'20 on the news that Elliot also made a last minute bid for Citgo, in which, like Vitol, they would seek to resolve the PDV'20 situation; the rest of the PDVSA curve and the sovereign curve fell 0.1-0.25pts.

Latin American credits had a positive day in the face of risk-on and treasury advances, led by sovereign Brazil and Chile, which rose by as much as 1pt, with the rest of the region's major names up 0.5pts on average.