August 3, 2026

Market Flash

Dissent Within the Fed Stock indices fell and yields on medium- and long-term Treasury bonds spiked following the Fed’s meeting and the press conference held by its chairman, Kevin Warsh. Although the Fed kept its rate unchanged at the current range of 3.50%–3.75%, three members voted...
July 27, 2026

Daily commentary

This escalation of tensions between the U.S. and Iran led to a nearly 9% plunge in crude oil prices, with WTI closing at $81.94 and Brent at $87.81, triggering a bull flattening of global interest rates, with long-term yields falling more than short-term yields, compressing the yield curve’s slope, with declines of up to 4 bps in Europe and 3 bps at the long end of the...
July 27, 2026

Market Flash

Oil and Yields Are Pushing Prices Higher A new escalation in the conflict between the U.S. and Iran once again drove up crude oil prices: WTI briefly surpassed $92 during the week, returning to the highs seen in early June and reversing much of the gains made following the April ceasefire and the June MoU...
July 21, 2026

Daily commentary

A positive session for global equities amid a sharp rally in semiconductors and memory companies, leading to a 1.3% gain in the Nasdaq and a 0.9% gain in the S&P 500, following gains in Asia and, to a lesser extent, in Europe. In commodities, crude oil continues to rise, closing 2% above the price...
July 20, 2026

Daily commentary

Global yields rose at the start of the week, led by U.K. gilts, which rose as much as 9 basis points following the confirmation of the new cabinet, followed by Treasuries, which rose as much as 5 basis points amid a new surge in oil prices, with WTI closing at $84 and Brent at $90—the highest level in five weeks...
July 14, 2026

Daily commentary

Inflation in the U.S. in June was significantly lower than expected, with the monthly headline rate falling 0.4% and the core rate coming in at 0.0% (vs. -0.1% and +0.2% expected, respectively), while the annual headline rate was 3.5% and the core rate was 2.6% (vs. 3.8% and 2.8%, respectively). As expected, assets at the...
July 13, 2026

Market Flash

Trump Announces the Return of the Blockade in the Strait of Hormuz President Trump told Fox News today that the U.S. “is going to take control of the Strait” of Hormuz and that “we’re probably going to operate it.” He then declared the U.S. blockade of Iran reactivated and stated that a 20% tariff will be imposed on...
July 13, 2026

Daily commentary

Trump announced yesterday that the U.S. had reactivated the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, adding today that they would strike Iran hard today and tomorrow, causing a 10% rise in crude oil prices, with WTI returning to $78 and Brent to $83. In equities, U.S. indices fell, led by the Nasdaq, which dropped 1.55% amid a rise in...