June 22, 2026

Market Flash

U.S. Treasury bond yields showed mixed movements during the week: short-term yields rose to 2024 levels, while long-term yields remained relatively stable, following the Fed’s latest meeting. All of this took place against a backdrop marked by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and volatility in oil prices...
June 15, 2026

Market Flash

The Federal Reserve meeting, which concludes this Wednesday, will be the first session chaired by Kevin Warsh, who is taking office as chairman following the approval of his nomination by Congress last month. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged; in fact, the markets are expecting a...
June 15, 2026

Daily commentary

The U.S. and Iran announced that they had reached an agreement to end the war, which would be signed this Friday, triggering a wave of risk-on sentiment in the markets, with the Nasdaq rising nearly 3% and the S&P 500 up 2% following gains of 5% in Japan and 1% in Europe. Rates fell less than expected, dropping 5 basis points in Europe and 2 basis points...
June 12, 2026

Daily commentary

The week closes with the spotlight on SpaceX’s IPO—the largest in history after raising $75Bn—amid a positive day in the markets, with global equities rising and crude oil falling 4% after the U.S. said there is “an 80% probability of a deal with Iran.” The dollar depreciated 0.20% (DXY 99.7)...
June 11, 2026

Daily commentary

Trump canceled his plans to attack Iran, triggering a massive rally in U.S. equities (Nasdaq +2.5%, S&P 500 +1.75%) and Treasuries, whose yields fell 10 basis points, along with a 4% decline in crude oil prices, with WTI closing at $86 and Brent at $89...
June 10, 2026

Daily commentary

Markets are seeing increased volatility amid renewed escalation in rhetoric between the U.S. and Iran, with global equities falling and interest rates rising despite U.S. inflation coming in exactly as expected, at 4.2% year-over-year for headline inflation and 2.9% for core inflation. Crude oil rose 3% and metals fell sharply, leaving...
June 9, 2026

Daily commentary

A day of extreme volatility, amid reports that Iran shot down an American helicopter, to which Trump said the U.S. would have to respond. The Nasdaq was down more than 3% at one point, but closed down just 1% amid a strong recovery in the broader market, which also saw crude oil down 3% along with metals and agricultural commodities. Treasuries rose to...
June 8, 2026

Market Flash

The market reflected growing expectations of a Fed interest rate hike before the end of the year. Futures markets are pricing in a probability of nearly 72% that the Fed will raise rates by between a quarter and three-quarters of a point by December, according to CME FedWatch. The probability that the...
June 4, 2026

Daily commentary

Asian equities opened the trading session with an average decline of 1.5%, followed by gains in Europe and the U.S., where the Dow led the way with a gain of nearly 2%, accompanied by a 2-4 basis point drop in yields in both Europe and the U.S. In commodities, crude oil fell 3% amid apparent progress in negotiations between the U.S. and Iran...