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September 30, 2026
Published by techdev on September 30, 2026
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Daily commentary

The session was dominated by fixed income after the August core PCE rose less than expected, 0.2% month-over-month, with a downward revision to the previous month, bringing the probability of an October Fed rate hike below 40% according to futures estimates. The Treasury curve experienced a bearish steepener led by...
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September 29, 2026
Published by techdev on September 29, 2026
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Daily commentary

A cautious session in global markets. John Williams, president of the New York Fed, said that another rate hike could be appropriate later this year, although not urgently after the September hike, and estimated inflation at 3.5% by 2026, driven by energy and AI-related demand. The estimate of...
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September 28, 2026
Published by techdev on September 28, 2026
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Daily commentary

A risk-averse session followed Trump's rejection of Iran's latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, prolonging the energy shock and deepening the sell-off in Treasuries. Equity indexes closed lower, with the Nasdaq falling 0.9%, the S&P 500 0.8%, and the Dow Jones 0.7%. Asia was the...
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September 28, 2026
Published by techdev on September 28, 2026
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Market Flash

The sell-off in Treasuries was the focus of the week. The 10-year Treasury yield closed up 5.17% (+16 basis points) after reaching 5.2% on Thursday, and the 30-year yield settled at 5.49%, its highest level since 2004. The trigger was the September composite PMI, coupled with hawkish speeches from several Fed members and the crossfire of rhetoric between the US and Iran at the UN.
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September 21, 2026
Published by techdev on September 21, 2026
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Market Flash

The FOMC raised the Fed’s target range by 25 bps to 3.75–4.00%, the first hike since 2023, with no dissenting votes. The message was more hawkish than the move itself: 16 of 18 members see another hike this year, and inflation projections rose. Warsh spoke of “withdrawing a dose of accommodation”: he still does not see policy...
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September 17, 2026
Published by techdev on September 17, 2026
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Daily commentary

The trading session saw a strong rebound in the U.S. one day after the Fed raised rates for the first time since 2023, triggering an initial drop that was viewed today as an overreaction; a second consecutive decline in oil prices eased pressure on yields and reignited risk appetite. The stock indices...
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September 16, 2026
Published by techdev on September 16, 2026
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Daily commentary

The global market day revolved around the Fed’s decision to raise the rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%–4%, the first hike since 2023, with the dot plot signaling one additional hike this year and two 25-basis-point hikes in 2027. The vote was unanimous despite pressure from Trump for lower rates; the committee raised its median rate forecast to...
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September 15, 2026
Published by techdev on September 15, 2026
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Daily commentary

The trading session was marked by a decline in equity indices ahead of the Fed’s decision on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq falling 0.8%, the S&P 500 0.4%, and the Dow Jones 0.6%, while the interest rate futures market assigns a 96% probability to a 25-basis-point rate hike. In Asia, the Nikkei remained flat, while the Kospi fell...
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September 14, 2026
Published by techdev on September 14, 2026
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Market Flash

Ahead of the Fed meeting, two reports showed that inflation remains high at both the consumer and wholesale levels. The Consumer Price Index released on Friday showed an annual rate of 3.4% in August, unchanged from the previous month and still well above the 2.0% target set by...
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