Inflation in the U.S. in June was significantly lower than expected, with the monthly headline rate falling 0.4% and the core rate coming in at 0.0% (vs. -0.1% and +0.2% expected, respectively), while the annual headline rate was 3.5% and the core rate was 2.6% (vs. 3.8% and 2.8%, respectively). As expected, assets at the...

Trump announced yesterday that the U.S. had reactivated the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, adding today that they would strike Iran hard today and tomorrow, causing a 10% rise in crude oil prices, with WTI returning to $78 and Brent to $83. In equities, U.S. indices fell, led by the Nasdaq, which dropped 1.55% amid a rise in...

The market continues to bet that this new confrontation between the U.S. and Iran will be limited and short-lived, with risk assets rebounding globally today: major stock indices rose 0.5–1.5%, accompanied by a 2.5% drop in crude oil prices (WTI $72; Brent $76), as well as...

Trump’s back-and-forth with Iraq resumed, with a U.S. attack on Iraqi forces in retaliation for their disruption of shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, while Trump said he “doesn’t expect the war to start again; it will be quick.” Equities fell globally, though they were recovering from...

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Hits a High as Concerns Over Fed Rate Hikes Ease U.S. job growth, which was slower than expected, drove most stocks higher, while short-term bond yields fell amid expectations that the...

Most stocks are rising as Warsh says inflation risks are fading. Signs of economic strength and easing inflationary pressures boosted most U.S. stock markets, and Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said...

The U.S. and Iran announced that they had reached an agreement to end the war, which would be signed this Friday, triggering a wave of risk-on sentiment in the markets, with the Nasdaq rising nearly 3% and the S&P 500 up 2% following gains of 5% in Japan and 1% in Europe. Rates fell less than expected, dropping 5 basis points in Europe and 2 basis points...

The week closes with the spotlight on SpaceX’s IPO—the largest in history after raising $75Bn—amid a positive day in the markets, with global equities rising and crude oil falling 4% after the U.S. said there is “an 80% probability of a deal with Iran.” The dollar depreciated 0.20% (DXY 99.7)...

Trump canceled his plans to attack Iran, triggering a massive rally in U.S. equities (Nasdaq +2.5%, S&P 500 +1.75%) and Treasuries, whose yields fell 10 basis points, along with a 4% decline in crude oil prices, with WTI closing at $86 and Brent at $89...