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August 21, 2025
Published by techdev on August 21, 2025
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Daily commentary

With the market awaiting Powell in Jackson Hole tomorrow, we saw a further rate hike globally, which on the Treasury curve was 3-4bps and a relevant move in rate futures, which assume a 72% probability of the 25bps cut at the September meeting and 90% of a second cut....
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August 20, 2025
Published by techdev on August 20, 2025
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Daily commentary

Stocks recover from session lows after a drop in tech during the week, in the latest sign of feverish trading on Wall Street ahead of Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech. After a plunge that saw stocks lose billions of dollars, the...
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August 19, 2025
Published by techdev on August 19, 2025
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Daily commentary

Wall Street's summer calm was broken by a wave of selling in technology giants. Indicators are down, highlighting the U.S. market's close dependence on corporate giants. The Nasdaq 100 FELL 1.4% - its second worst drop since April's tariff shock....
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August 18, 2025
Published by techdev on August 18, 2025
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Daily commentary

In a week where the focus will be on Powell's speech in Jackson Hole this Friday, the start was of little movement, with rates in the US rising marginally (+2bps), after equivalent falls in Europe; while in equities the main indexes at global level had variations of less than 2bps....
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August 15, 2025
Published by techdev on August 15, 2025
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Daily commentary

Worse than expected retail sales were not enough to keep the treasury curve from falling further after yesterday's PPI measurement, pushing yields up to 6bps, closing longs at the highest level of the week, back above 4.9% 20y and 30y. Equities did not have much movement, seeing value...
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August 14, 2025
Published by techdev on August 14, 2025
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Daily commentary

The producer price index showed a very different picture from yesterday's consumer price index, far exceeding expectations (monthly 0.9% vs. 0.2% exp and annual 3.3% vs. 2.5% exp), leading to a fall in the treasury curve (yields +5bps) in the face of a readjustment of rate cut expectations...
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August 13, 2025
Published by techdev on August 13, 2025
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Daily commentary

Treasury curve advance (-5bps) as the Trump administration increases pressure on Powell and the Fed to cut rates, leading futures to discount the 25bps cut in September, another 25bps cut in October and 50% chance of one more in December. Equities had another close...
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August 12, 2025
Published by techdev on August 12, 2025
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Market Flash

During the week, U.S. Treasury yields U.S. Treasury yields rose, as the 2Q earnings season draws to a close, with around 90% of S&P 500 companies 2Q earnings season is closing, with around 90% of S&P 500 companies already reporting their figures. At the same time, global trade tensions persisted....
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