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July 17, 2025
Published by techdev on July 17, 2025
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Daily commentary

Retail sales data in the US was considerably better than expected, leading to a rally in equities, which saw a new historical close for the S&P500, following advances in Asia and Europe. On the rates side, there were no notable changes, with the short end declining marginally and the long end closing flat, with yields on the 20y and 30y at 5%. In commodities, energy rose 2% as did several metals, while agriculture closed mixed. The dollar recovered what it lost yesterday...
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July 15, 2025
Published by techdev on July 15, 2025
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Market Flash

During the week, U.S. Treasury yields rebounded amid investors' reaction to the latest news of rising global trade tensions. investors to the latest news on rising global trade tensions. With the expiration of the 90-day tariff truce on July 9, Trump announced new tariffs on July 9, Trump announced new tariffs on more than 20 countries. The rates vary widely - ranging from 20% to 50% - and are scheduled to go into effect on August 1, unless trade agreements are finalized before then. trade agreements are finalized before then.
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July 15, 2025
Published by techdev on July 15, 2025
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Daily commentary

June US inflation was mostly in line with expectations, seeing headline at 0.3% and core at 0.2% (vs 0.3% exp both), while the annual was 2.7% in headline and 2.9% in core (vs 2.6% and 2.9% exp, respectively), bringing an initial favorable reaction for treasuries, which reached a 5bps drop in yields, but which progressively turned around to end in a decline along the curve that was slightly more accentuated in the short end...
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July 14, 2025
Published by techdev on July 14, 2025
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Daily commentary

With the market focused on tomorrow's US inflation data, rates rose slightly by 1-2bps in the US, similar to the change in Europe, while equities advanced marginally, following mixed results in Asia and Europe with no major changes. In commodities, energy fell 2%, while agriculture rose 1% and metals fell slightly. In Venezuela and PDVSA, the same story of the last few days has been repeated, with slight declines and low volumes...
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July 8, 2025
Published by techdev on July 8, 2025
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Market Flash

During the week, U.S. Treasury yields rebounded as investors digested the latest labor market data and global trade tensions continue. global trade tensions continue. Much of the attention was focused on the progress of the Trump administration's budget reconciliation bill, narrowly passed in the Senate and ratified in the House of of Representatives...
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July 5, 2025
Published by techdev on July 5, 2025
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Monthly Report July 2025

The main U.S. indices showed a solid performance throughout the month of July. The S&P 500 registered an advance of +2.24%, accumulating a gain of +8.58% so far in 2025. The Nasdaq also showed an outstanding performance, with an increase of +3.73%, accumulating a gain of +8.58% so far in 2025. increase of +3.73%, which raised its...
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July 3, 2025
Published by techdev on July 3, 2025
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Daily commentary

Rates rose globally, led by UK Gilts, which rose up to 20bps after Rachel Reeves' position as Chancellor of the Exchequer, who has had a fiscally restrictive stance, was called into question, which also caused sterling and UK equities to fall; in the US long rates rose up to 6bps, in a session where the Nasdaq rallied and the Dow closed flat. In commodities, we saw significant rallies in energy and metals, which rose 1-4%...
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July 2, 2025
Published by techdev on July 2, 2025
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Daily commentary

Mid-day session that ends the week with a much better than expected jobs report, generating significant declines in the treasury curve that had a bear flattener (+9bps short yields and +6bps long) as the expectation of rate cuts by the Fed was reduced to -50bps again, being the first cut between September and October and the next one in December. Equities...
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July 1, 2025
Published by techdev on July 1, 2025
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Daily commentary

July started with declines in Asian and European equities, while in the US we saw an unusual rotation from tech/growth to value, with the Dow Jones rising 1% and the Nasdaq falling 0.9%. In rates, the treasury curve had a bear flattener, with short bonds falling (+5bps yields) and long bonds flat, with the 2y-20y and 2y-30y spreads returning to 100bps. Within commodities, energy and metals rose...
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