June 5, 2025

Daily commentary

The US announced plans to expand its sanctions on Chinese technology companies, leading to a drop in US equities of up to 1.6% in the Nasdaq, which however recovered most of the fall, closing -0.3% and 0.05% in the S&P500. The treasury curve had a slight bull steepener, with short bonds gaining (-3bps yields) and long bonds remaining flat, which took 2y-20y and 2y-30y spreads above 100bps again. Commodities fell across the board against an unchanged dollar. VIX stable at 19.3. Venezuela and PDVSA had more selling in the sovereign long side, which fell 0.5pts, while the rest of the sovereign curve and PDVSA remained basically flat. Latin American credits close flat and down 0.3pts on low volumes, with spreads widening slightly.
June 4, 2025

Monthly Report June 2025

The good performance of the markets continued during June, with widespread advances that consolidated an improvement in sentiment and reinforced the expectation that the economy will be able to maintain a moderate growth pace. The S&P 500 rose +4.54% for the month and accumulated a gain of +5.65% so far in 2025. The Nasdaq Composite rebounded +6.64%, while the Dow Jones added +4.47% and records an annual advance of +3.89%. Even fixed income accompanied this favorable movement, with the Bloomberg US...
June 3, 2025

Market Flash

During the week, U.S. Treasury yields declined as investors digested the latest inflation data and uncertainty over the trade war continues. digested the latest inflation data and uncertainty over the trade war continues. Markets started the week higher following President Trump's announcement over the weekend that he would delay until July 9 the implementation of a new 50% tariff on...
May 30, 2025

Daily commentary

The US announced plans to expand its sanctions on Chinese technology companies, leading to a drop in US equities of up to 1.6% in the Nasdaq, which however recovered most of the fall, closing -0.3% and 0.05% in the S&P500. The treasury curve had a slight bull steepener, with short bonds gaining (-3bps yields) and long bonds remaining flat, which took 2y-20y and 2y-30y spreads above 100bps again. Commodities fell across the board against an unchanged dollar. VIX stable at 19.3. Venezuela and PDVSA had more selling in the sovereign long side, which fell 0.5pts, while the rest of the sovereign curve and PDVSA remained basically flat. Latin American credits close flat and down 0.3pts on low volumes, with spreads widening slightly.
May 27, 2025

Market Flash

During the week, U.S. Treasury yields rebounded as investors await upcoming inflation data and digest the latest trade war news. The major stock indexes suffered a mid-week decline, along with Treasuries, following a weak auction of 20-year bond auction that exceeded market expectations. This auction put upward pressure on long-term yields, pushing the 30-year bond to its highest level since 2023....