June 20, 2025

Daily commentary

Trump gave indications that the US has not decided to participate directly in the Iran-Israel conflict, whose first negotiations with European representatives did not advance significantly, leading to declines in US equities despite earlier gains in Asia and Europe. Treasuries started the day down, but recovered, dropping yields 2bps across the curve, similar to what happened with European sovereign curves. On the commodities side, we saw a mostly negative session, although with no significant impact changes. VIX fell to 21...
June 18, 2025

Daily commentary

The US announced plans to expand its sanctions on Chinese technology companies, leading to a drop in US equities of up to 1.6% in the Nasdaq, which however recovered most of the fall, closing -0.3% and 0.05% in the S&P500. The treasury curve had a slight bull steepener, with short bonds gaining (-3bps yields) and short bonds remaining flat....
June 17, 2025

Market Flash

During the week, U.S. Treasury yields declined as investors digested the latest inflation data and await the Federal Reserve's next meeting in the coming days. digested the latest inflation data and await the Federal Reserve's next meeting in the coming days. Major stock indexes advanced through Thursday, boosted by better-than-expected macroeconomic data and reports of a preliminary agreement between the U.S. and China aimed at easing trade tensions...
June 17, 2025

Daily commentary

The US announced plans to expand its sanctions on Chinese technology companies, leading to a drop in US equities of up to 1.6% in the Nasdaq, which however recovered most of the fall, closing -0.3% and 0.05% in the S&P500. The treasury curve had a slight bull steepener, with short bonds gaining (-3bps yields) and long bonds remaining flat, which took 2y-20y and 2y-30y spreads above 100bps again. Commodities fell across the board against an unchanged dollar. VIX stable at 19.3. Venezuela and PDVSA had more selling in the sovereign long side, which fell 0.5pts, while the rest of the sovereign curve and PDVSA remained basically flat. Latin American credits close flat and down 0.3pts on low volumes, with spreads widening slightly.
June 16, 2025

Daily commentary

The US announced plans to expand its sanctions on Chinese technology companies, leading to a drop in US equities of up to 1.6% in the Nasdaq, which however recovered most of the fall, closing -0.3% and 0.05% in the S&P500. The treasury curve had a slight bull steepener, with short bonds gaining (-3bps yields) and long bonds remaining flat, which took 2y-20y and 2y-30y spreads above 100bps again. Commodities fell across the board against an unchanged dollar. VIX stable at 19.3. Venezuela and PDVSA had more selling in the sovereign long side, which fell 0.5pts, while the rest of the sovereign curve and PDVSA remained basically flat. Latin American credits close flat and down 0.3pts on low volumes, with spreads widening slightly.
June 13, 2025

Daily commentary

The US announced plans to expand its sanctions on Chinese technology companies, leading to a drop in US equities of up to 1.6% in the Nasdaq, which however recovered most of the fall, closing -0.3% and 0.05% in the S&P500. The treasury curve had a slight bull steepener, with short bonds gaining (-3bps yields) and long bonds remaining flat, which took 2y-20y and 2y-30y spreads above 100bps again. Commodities fell across the board against an unchanged dollar. VIX stable at 19.3. Venezuela and PDVSA had more selling in the sovereign long side, which fell 0.5pts, while the rest of the sovereign curve and PDVSA remained basically flat. Latin American credits close flat and down 0.3pts on low volumes, with spreads widening slightly.
June 12, 2025

Daily commentary

The US announced plans to expand its sanctions on Chinese technology companies, leading to a drop in US equities of up to 1.6% in the Nasdaq, which however recovered most of the fall, closing -0.3% and 0.05% in the S&P500. The treasury curve had a slight bull steepener, with short bonds gaining (-3bps yields) and long bonds remaining flat, which took 2y-20y and 2y-30y spreads above 100bps again. Commodities fell across the board against an unchanged dollar. VIX stable at 19.3. Venezuela and PDVSA had more selling in the sovereign long side, which fell 0.5pts, while the rest of the sovereign curve and PDVSA remained basically flat. Latin American credits close flat and down 0.3pts on low volumes, with spreads widening slightly.
June 11, 2025

Daily commentary

The US announced plans to expand its sanctions on Chinese technology companies, leading to a drop in US equities of up to 1.6% in the Nasdaq, which however recovered most of the fall, closing -0.3% and 0.05% in the S&P500. The treasury curve had a slight bull steepener, with short bonds gaining (-3bps yields) and long bonds remaining flat, which took 2y-20y and 2y-30y spreads above 100bps again. Commodities fell across the board against an unchanged dollar. VIX stable at 19.3. Venezuela and PDVSA had more selling in the sovereign long side, which fell 0.5pts, while the rest of the sovereign curve and PDVSA remained basically flat. Latin American credits close flat and down 0.3pts on low volumes, with spreads widening slightly.
June 10, 2025

Market Flash

During the week, U.S. Treasury yields rebounded as investors digested the latest labor market data and await the next Federal Reserve meeting in less than 10 days. The highlight of the economic calendar was the nonfarm payrolls report, which showed signs of cooling in the labor market, albeit at a more moderate pace than expected....