Recent bond market movements support expectations of a possible rate hike by the Fed before the end of the year, marking a shift from previous forecasts of rate cuts. The futures market anticipates a greater than 50% probability that the Fed will raise rates before...

Yields on U.S. Treasury bonds remained relatively stable, ending a streak of weeks of gains, amid an environment marked by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and volatility in oil prices. This week, we are entering the final stretch of the season...

The Fed kept its monetary policy unchanged for the third consecutive meeting, maintaining rates in the 3.5%–3.75% range. However, the updated statement noted disagreements among 4 of the 12 members, reflecting divergent views on the direction of monetary policy. This would likely...

Bond market activity ahead of the Fed’s upcoming meeting continued to support expectations of a pause in monetary policy following the rate cuts in 2025. Futures markets are pricing in a 100% probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at the conclusion of its two-day meeting on the 29th...