August 5, 2025

Daily commentary

Asian equities rose along with European equities, while US equities gave back some of yesterday's gains in a day with no relevant news or data. Fixed income had no major movement either, seeing a slight bear flattener in the treasury curve, where short bonds fell (+4bps yields) and long bonds remained flat...
August 4, 2025

Daily commentary

Positive start to the week for equities globally, with U.S. equities rebounding up to 2% after Friday's declines; in fixed income, European sovereigns were in significant demand, with yields falling 5-7bps, while U.S. long bonds fell up to 3bps...
August 1, 2025

Daily commentary

A disappointing jobs report, and more importantly, revisions of over 260,000 jobs from the initial data between May and June led to a very aggressive rally in treasuries, marking an accentuated bull steepener in which short bonds saw yields fall by as much as 27bps and long bonds by 10bps, on the expectation of an imminent first cut in September of 25bps and now 150bps plus between...
July 31, 2025

Daily commentary

Volatile day, which started with technology markedly up on positive reports from Microsoft and Meta, which gradually faded against the rest of the heavy market, closing down value and flat on the Nasdaq after falls in Asia and Europe. Treasuries also started the day up following advances in bonds...
July 30, 2025

Daily commentary

The Fed kept rates unchanged as expected at 4.25-4.5%, but Powell at a press conference gave indications that he expects them to remain the same for the foreseeable future, despite the fact that the rate vote had two governors voting for cuts, the first time since the 1990s that there have been two dissenters....
July 29, 2025

Daily commentary

The US and the European Union reached the expected tariff agreement, in which the EU accepted a 15% tariff on most of its exports to the US; the market had no major reaction, with US indices closing with slight mixed variations, while in Europe there were small declines and in Asia also mixed results. In fixed income, there was demand for European sovereign bonds whose yields fell 2-4bps, while UK gilts and US treasuries fell, with yields rising 1-3bps ...
July 28, 2025

Daily commentary

China and the US have not yet managed to finalize the tariffs agreement, but set an extension to the negotiation deadline to sign the agreement, leading to a rally in treasuries that pushed yields down 5-10bps, leaving the long side below 4.86%. Equities had no major reaction, with U.S. and Asian indices down 0.4% on average, while European indices...
July 25, 2025

Daily commentary

Little movement in the markets to end the week, with U.S. equities slightly up and both European and Asian equities down, the latter being the session's underperformers, falling almost 1%; while in fixed income, European rates rose marginally and U.S. rates remained flat. Commodities retreated in the face of a 0.25% appreciation of the dollar, with the main items falling 1-1.5% globally...
July 24, 2025

Daily commentary

In Europe, we saw a rate hike of up to 8bps after European Central Bank officials gave indications that no further rate cuts are planned, while in the US, treasuries had a slight bear flattener (+4bps short, +1bp long); equities In Venezuela, we were surprised by news from the Wall Street Journal, which reported that Chevron ...