September 25, 2025

Daily commentary

U.S. equity indices fell for the third day in a row, accompanied by a global rate hike of between 3-7bps. Commodities closed slightly higher in almost all commodities, with natural gas and wheat standing out. The dollar appreciated 0.7%, reaching its highest level of the month (DXY 98.5)...
September 24, 2025

Daily commentary

Without much in terms of news or data, we saw a 3-4bps increase in Treasury yields after a flat session in Europe in terms of rates, accompanied by a slight drop in equity indices after advances in Asia and minor movements in Europe. In commodities, the day was very similar to yesterday's, with crude oil up 2% and small negative variations in most of the agricultural items...
September 17, 2025

Daily commentary

As widely expected, the Fed restarted rate cuts with a -25bps (a defector who wanted 50bps), taking the benchmark rate to 4-4.25%, saying they expect more cuts in the remainder of the year, which was reflected in the dot plot pointing to -50bps between the two remaining 2025 meetings; initially treasuries.
September 16, 2025

Daily commentary

Calm in the markets ahead of tomorrow's FOMC, where the 25bps cut is expected and additional information will be sought from the Fed regarding the path it will take for the rest of the year. Equities marginally down in the US after a drop of more than 1% in Europe, amid weakness in the dollar, which hit its lowest since February 2022...
September 15, 2025

Daily commentary

With the focus of the week on the widely expected rate cut by the Fed on Wednesday, risk assets had a positive day, with the Nasdaq gaining as much as 1% and the S&P500 0.85%, rising alongside European and Asian indices that lagged slightly. At the same time, rates...
September 8, 2025

Daily commentary

Treasuries continue to gain ground, seeing a bull flattener today in which long bonds saw yields fall as much as 7bps vs 2bps for shorts, finishing below 4.7% on 30y as the notion of three 25bps cuts by the Fed in the remaining three meetings in 2025 takes hold.
September 4, 2025

Daily commentary

Wall Street traders are bracing for Friday's jobs report, a trio of data that reinforced the view of a cooling labor market, keeping the Fed's bets on rate cuts, which remain in place as it drives even the market higher.
September 3, 2025

Daily commentary

Wall Street traders continued to pile up bets that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September as weak jobs data improves Those bets also underpinned the market, which halted a two-day rout amid a high-tech rally...
September 2, 2025

Daily commentary

Stocks add to bond slide as 30-year yield nears 5% Wall Street started September on a sour note, stocks down amid heavy corporate debt selling and budget concerns in the developed world. Gold hit an all-time high...