August 29, 2025

Daily commentary

Wall Street traders drove the market lower amid a selloff in technology stocks that have driven the rally following April's crisis. This despite inflation data that did little to alter bets on rate cuts by the Federal Reserve....
August 28, 2025

Daily commentary

The S&P500 touched 6,500pts for the first time in history after a slightly positive close of U.S. indices, in a session of gains in major global assets. In fixed income, treasuries had a bull flattener, with long bonds rising (-5bps) and shorts flat...
August 27, 2025

Daily commentary

Wall Street traders pushed stocks higher ahead of results from Nvidia Corp. - the latest of the "Magnificent Seven" mega-caps to report. With earnings from the world's most valuable company coming soon, the S&P 500 rose as Nvidia recovered from session lows....
August 26, 2025

Daily commentary

Trump said he will fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook over document forgery, which is expected to be a major legal war given the lack of precedent for firing a Fed governor; however, short treasuries rose (yields -5bps) and longs were unchanged. In equities...
August 25, 2025

Daily commentary

The treasury curve gave back some of Friday's advance, rising 3-4bps in yields, along with a 5-8bps rise in Europe. Equities rose in Asia, but fell in the US and Europe on a day of low volume. On the commodities side, energy rose 1.5%, while metals and agriculture fell slightly...
August 22, 2025

Daily commentary

Powell was accommodative in his remarks at Jackson Hole, opening the possibility of a 25bps cut in September that sent the market into euphoria, leading to a nearly 2% rally in equities and an advance across the treasury curve, particularly short bonds that fell 10bps in yields (-4bps for longs)...
August 21, 2025

Daily commentary

With the market awaiting Powell in Jackson Hole tomorrow, we saw a further rate hike globally, which on the Treasury curve was 3-4bps and a relevant move in rate futures, which assume a 72% probability of the 25bps cut at the September meeting and 90% of a second cut....
August 20, 2025

Daily commentary

Stocks recover from session lows after a drop in tech during the week, in the latest sign of feverish trading on Wall Street ahead of Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech. After a plunge that saw stocks lose billions of dollars, the...
August 19, 2025

Daily commentary

Wall Street's summer calm was broken by a wave of selling in technology giants. Indicators are down, highlighting the U.S. market's close dependence on corporate giants. The Nasdaq 100 FELL 1.4% - its second worst drop since April's tariff shock....