August 18, 2025

Daily commentary

In a week where the focus will be on Powell's speech in Jackson Hole this Friday, the start was of little movement, with rates in the US rising marginally (+2bps), after equivalent falls in Europe; while in equities the main indexes at global level had variations of less than 2bps....
August 15, 2025

Daily commentary

Worse than expected retail sales were not enough to keep the treasury curve from falling further after yesterday's PPI measurement, pushing yields up to 6bps, closing longs at the highest level of the week, back above 4.9% 20y and 30y. Equities did not have much movement, seeing value...
August 14, 2025

Daily commentary

The producer price index showed a very different picture from yesterday's consumer price index, far exceeding expectations (monthly 0.9% vs. 0.2% exp and annual 3.3% vs. 2.5% exp), leading to a fall in the treasury curve (yields +5bps) in the face of a readjustment of rate cut expectations...
August 13, 2025

Daily commentary

Treasury curve advance (-5bps) as the Trump administration increases pressure on Powell and the Fed to cut rates, leading futures to discount the 25bps cut in September, another 25bps cut in October and 50% chance of one more in December. Equities had another close...
August 12, 2025

Daily commentary

U.S. inflation for July was mostly in line with expectations, coming in at 0.2% monthly headline and 0.3% core, while the annual was 2.7% headline (vs 2.8% exp) and 3.1% core (vs 3.0% exp), the initial reaction was a rally in the treasury curve, but slowly the longs were sold...
August 11, 2025

Daily commentary

Wall Street refrained from making big bets ahead of a key inflation report, with stocks falling, losing steam. The dollar rose against most major currencies. With earnings season almost over, investors are turning to...
August 8, 2025

Daily commentary

Higher rates globally ending the week, seeing a 4-7bps increase in the long end of European sovereign curves, while in the US the curve had a parallel move of 3bps. Meanwhile, US equities remain in demand, with the S&P and Nasdaq up almost 1%, again driven by...
August 7, 2025

Daily commentary

Positive session for both Asian and European equities, while in the US "value" continues to lag as the Dow fell but the Nasdaq ended in green, boosted by Apple. In rates, the treasury curve closed flat and in Europe there were slight declines, except in the UK where there was a 2bps rise. In commodities, crude oil...
August 6, 2025

Daily commentary

Technology continues to lead U.S. equities, with the Nasdaq up 1.2% amid talks of a Trump meeting with Putin and Zelenskiy next week. In fixed income, we saw a bear steepener in the treasury curve, with short bonds rising slightly and long bonds falling, driving the spread...